Predicting who will lift the Premier League trophy is a year-long obsession for footy fans. Everyone’s got opinions; arguments break out down at the pub; it’s all part of the fun. But putting aside your feelings, can stats actually give us a realistic idea about who's got the best shot? Turns out, they absolutely can shine a light on things. Looking at performance data, analyzing past results, and considering a few key performance indicators can give us some insight into a team's prospects; it makes one feel like you can actually have control over who wins.
Goal Difference is Key.
Okay, so it might seem obvious, but the number of goals a team scores versus the number they let in is really, really telling. Goal difference is a critical stat. It gives you a good snap shot about who the high-powered offense is and who has the most rock solid defense. The better the Goal Difference (GD) is, the better it is to win the league.
Historically, the team with the best goal difference at the end of the season has almost always either won the league - or has come a close second. It’s a simple measure of dominance; it actually tells you how a team performs in every game. So when studying who will be lifting the trophy, that is the stat to look at first.
How Important Are Goals For and Goals Against?
Taking it a step deeper, what about simply how many goals a team is scoring versus how solid their defense is? Goals For (GF) and Goals Against (GA) stats tell a more detailed story than simple goal difference. A big GF number says that the team is an offensive powerhouse. A low GA says that the defense is not letting anything through their side. Look for people that have great Goal For, AND great Goal Against Numbers. Then you are in for a win.
A team that can bag a ton of goals AND has a strong defensive record. A team that allows 1 or less goals per game. Those ones are serious about being on top of the league. They have the best chances of being number one. It takes both to win. Otherwise, the team loses.
Looking at Past Data
History matters; people that don’t study will do a lot better when they use stats. Past champions tend to have a number of things in common; things like average possession percentage, shots on goal per game. If a team displays all of those attributes, it shows a commitment to getting better and learning. This can be a major thing when the season is close.
Past data is a huge indicator. See how the team has performed against teams of a similar rank – do they reliably sweep those games. Or do they stumble on occasion. See how it works to predict success. It's likely patterns will repeat. This is because the same manager continues. It is basically the same strategy. When it wins, it will continue. When it fails, it will still continue.
Home Victory Is Key!
A team's home form is a big indicator. Winning most of your games at home racks up easy points, and if a team loses every single point when playing at home, they will lose every single game. Consistent performance at home creates a huge momentum throughout the season. These are the most solid facts that need to known.
Also it can create a psychological advantage for that team, as they gain more support. The crowd is a part of pushing the performance. Look at the home win numbers. Home wins are a very good predictor to predict to win the Premier League Title. Also, understanding what online resources are valuable can be a huge help! There are many football betting sites that offer predictions that use this exact home-win system! It gives the team more hope of a come back.
Acknowledged Good Coaching
Coaching matters. A great manager, a motivator and a tactician, can lift players and bring something special. A look at the manager's past performances and history, as well as their approach and tactics! Those data points influence how well a team can take on new challenges.
When looking to see who is a title favorite, see who the coach is! Has the same coach been their for years? Have they bought great success in the Premier League. Without a coach who brings positive, a team will not hold their success over time. Having great leaders is pivotal.
Consider injuries - That Matters Too!
Injuries are the biggest thing that can ruin a champion. If a key player is injured that means a sudden weakening. It can affect everything on the field. It is always key to check on the team's fitness reports weekly. As well as that, they also require deep analysis to see if a specific injury can impact it more. Then it is easier to identify the best strategy.
There are tons of things to think about.
How deep is depth on a team? Are they able to handle it when they come face to face? A great winning team will generally be good all around to keep the same consistency from top to bottom. This is a huge part when it comes to identifying a winner. A deep depth can improve success. It can also improve mentality. A team with more depth also feels more supported. The consistency can assist in many aspects and boost them up when they face struggles. But they also can rely on each other! It can make you feel better when you have assistance. The comfort of having help makes a huge impact to the overall winning team.
Conclusion
Picking the Premier League winner is always tricky, but stats give us a good place to start. These statistical elements help. They contribute to a better understanding instead of just throwing guesses on the wall. This also improves that you have a chance, to see the facts by watching. Looking forward to more and more wins is an excited sport to play. And remember, even with all of the great data out there - soccer, or football, that has been given, anything is possible and that is what makes it so entertaining and amusing.
